Archive for March, 2008

Mar 26 2008

Macquarie International Infrastructure Fund Scrip Dividend Scheme

Published by lioninvestor under Shares

Macquarie International Infrastructure Fund (MIIF) had previously announced that they have a scrip dividend scheme as an alternative method for investors to receive their dividends.

What this means is that an investor can opt to receive shares instead of cash as dividends. The amount of shares you receive will be based on your entitled dividend amount divided by the issue price.

The issue price is fixed at a 5% discount to the mean of the closing price from 14th March 08 to 4th April 08.

You can decide whether or not to opt for the scheme after the issue price has been fixed and you can also choose whether this decision is a one time thing or applies to all future dividends as well.

What are the pros and cons of this scrip dividend scheme? Let’s list out some of common thinking before you decide whether to opt for it. Note that what is discussed will be applicable not just to Macquaire International Infrastructure Fund, but other companies as well.

  • It allows an existing investor to reinvest into the company without paying commissions and at a discount to the market price.
  • You end up with odd lots.
  • There is share dilution and earnings per share will drop.

Now, let us go into a more detailed analysis to establish whether the above makes sense. For simplicity sake, the terms earnings and dividends will be used interchangeably (assume 100% of earnings is declared as dividends).

Consider this:

Stock A has 10,000 shares in circulation and the net tangible assets of the company is $10,000. The market price of each share is $1. Thus, the share is trading at NTA price.

The company makes $500 in profits. This income is generated by the $10,000 worth of assets or restated, $1 of asset can produce $0.05 in earnings.

The issue price of the scrip dividend is $1 per share.

You own 1000 shares of the company. Earnings attributable to you is $50.

Scenario 1 - Everyone takes up the scrip dividend

Total shares in issue is now 10500 shares and you own 1050 shares of the company. Company assets have gone up to $10500.

What happens during the next period?

Case A - $500 is not put to use therefore earnings remain the same.

Earnings per share (for the next period) = 500/10500 = $0.0476/share

Your share of the earnings = 0.0476 x 1050 = $50

NTA of the company = 10500/10500 = $1

What has happened? You have sacrificed $50 cash dividend and when the next period comes, the dividends you receive is still the same even though the number of shares you own has increased.

Actually, you have not really lost the $50 you didn’t pocket as it is reflected in the total NTA in the shares you hold ($1x 1050).

Case B - Company uses the $500 to purchase an asset which can produce an income of 5%.

New earnings = 10500 x 0.05 = $525

Earnings per share (for the next period) = 525/10500 = $0.05/share

Your share of the earnings = 0.05 x 1050 = $52.50

NTA of the company = 10500/10500 = $1

Your share of the earnings has gone up. Nice! As the same for 1A, your share of the assets is 1 x 1050.

Scenario 2 - Only you take up the scrip dividend

Total shares in issue is now 10050 shares and you own 1050 shares of the company. Company assets have gone up to $10050. What happens during the next period?

Case A - $50 is not put to use therefore earnings remain the same.

Earnings per share (for the next period) = 500/10050 = $0.04975/share

Your share of the earnings = 0.04975 x 1050 = $52.24

NTA of the company = 10050/10050 = $1

This time round, your dividends have gone up even though earnings for the entire company has remained the same. This happens because you now own a greater percentage in the company.

Someone else who had not taken scrip would actually receive less dividends.

Case B - Company uses the $50 to purchase an asset which can produce an income of 5%.

New earnings = 10050 x 0.05 = $502.50

Earnings per share (for the next period) = 502.50/10050 = $0.05/share

Your share of the earnings = 0.05 x 1050 = $52.50

NTA of the company = 10050/10050 = $1

Earnings/share has gone up. Notice your share of the earnings is the same amount as 1B.

Someone else who had not taken scrip would receive the same dividends as before.

Let’s sum this all up.

Scenario 1A is the worst case to take a scrip dividend.

In scenario 2A, your earnings compound by 4.5% due to the actions of other shareholders even though company does nothing with your new capital.

In scenario 1B and 2B, your earnings compound at 5%. This is the result of the company putting your capital to good use.

Of course, there are cases where the manager uses the excess capital to generate earnings from 0-10%. You can try repeating the calculations here. :P

The conclusion I draw is this: If the manager can’t put our capital to good use, we would be better off taking the cash dividend and reinvesting it somewhere else. If we believe in him and are satisfied with the earnings he can achieve with our capital, the scrip dividend is worth considering.

What about the issue of odd lots? If you investment horizon is long, it shouldn’t really matter as your number of shares should compound sufficiently to allow them to sell them (if you want to do so). You can treat the few odd lots left behind as dividend play.

But I’m not done yet. Because in the examples I have given, the market price is equal to the NTA of the share. What happens if they are different? That is another important factor to determine whether or not I will take a scrip dividend. This will be explored in another article.

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Mar 25 2008

Singapore Property Growth & Profitability Conference

Published by lioninvestor under Events, Property, REIT

The Singapore Property Growth & Profitability Conference is a 2-day event held at Meritus Mandarin Singapore from 27-28 March 2008. The conference aims to help you find and identify winning projects and investment strategy into the Singapore property market.

These is a list of the topics that will be covered and the respective speakers:

  • Singapore Showcase: Global Prospects, Liquidity and Property as an Asset Class - Mr. Jimmy Koh Chew Teck, Head of Economics-Treasury, United Overseas Bank Group
  • Outlook of the Commercial Real Estate Sector for 2008 - Mr. Ku Swee Yong, Director - Marketing & Business Development, Savills Singapore
  • Singapore Property Landscape - A Tax Perspective - Mr. David Sandison, Tax Partner, PricewaterhouseCoopers
  • Overview of Residential Property in Singapore - Mr. Nicholas Mak Director, Knight Frank Singapore
  • A Look at Retail Property 2008 - Dr. Yang Liang Chua, Head of Singapore Research, Jones Lang LaSalle
  • Panel Discussion - The Next Chapter in the Singapore Success Story -
    • Mr. Jimmy Koh Chew Teck, Head of Economics-Treasury, United Overseas Bank Group
    • Karamjit Singh, Managing Director, Credo Real Estate (Singapore) Pte Ltd
    • Bill Jamieson, Senior Foreign Legal Advisor, Colin Ng & Partners
    • Raymond Chow, CEO, Ray Harcourts International Real Estate Group
  • A Singapore REIT Health Check - Mr. Peter Mitchell, Chief Executive Officer, Asian Public Real Estate Association
  • A Singapore Welcome - An Investor’s Briefing on Singapore’s Hospitality Sector - Mr. Alvin Liew, Economist, SE Asia, Global Research, Standard Chartered Bank
  • Legal Perspectives on Investing in Singapore Real Estate - Mr Ho Kin San, Partner, Corporate Real Estate, Allen & Gledhill LLP
  • Real Estate Derivatives - Dr. Ong Seow Eng, Professor, Department of Real Estate, National University of Singapore

Delegates will also get to go on an afternoon luxury coach tour of the newest and most attractive real estate developments like Marina Bay Suites, Turquoise, Reflections, Helios Residence and Cliveden located at:

  • Marina Bay
  • Sentosa Cove
  • Keppel Bay
  • Orchard Road
  • Sentosa

Tickets (US$650 each) to the conference are available at the Singapore Property Growth & Profitability Conference website.

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Mar 24 2008

Upcoming CPF Changes

Published by lioninvestor under Financial Planning

From 1st April 2008, there will be some changes to the Central Provident Fund (CPF) scheme where investments are concerned. Basically, the first $20k in both your OA and SA will be unavailable for investments. This does not affect existing investments so you will not need to liquidate any investments if you have less than $20k in your accounts now.

If you wish to deploy the first $20k in your CPF OA or SA funds for investments, you will need to do so in the next one or two days as it takes time for the CPF funds to be transfered out.

For your reference, leaving that amount in your CPF will earn you 3.5% p.a. for OA and a floor rate of 5% p.a. for SA (for this two years).

After 1st April, if you have less than $20k and sell or switch any of your CPFIS-OA investments, the money will be temporarily held in your agent bank first. If you want to use the amount for investments, you will have to do so before it gets transfered back to the CPF board.

Once it gets transfered back to CPF, the $20k rule will apply.

For CPFIS-SA, it will not be possible to do a switch as any sales proceeds will go directly into your CPF account. However, if your funds are under IA status (purchased from a CPFIS Registered Investment Administrator), switching will not be a problem for both CPFIS-OA and CPFIS-SA regardless of the amount left in your CPF account.

Refer to Annex C for list of CPFIS Registered Investment Administrators

For ILP products, switching might not involve a transfer of your monies to your CPF account. I’m not 100% sure on this so you might want to confirm with your insurance agent.

Should you rush to invest all your CPF monies now? It depends.

Some people might be reluctant to do so because of current market volatility. What I did is I moved most of my CPF to a money market fund. Subsequently, I will be doing RSP investments into unit trusts. This avoids investing all my CPF at one go.

Some people might have a high contribution to their CPF accounts every month. In their case, even if they move out all their money now, their CPF OA and SA will still build up to $20k very soon.

Moving out those funds from the CPF for investments might be a worthwhile consideration for those who have a very small contribution to CPF every month.

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Mar 24 2008

Structured Futures Products on SGX Soon

A few days ago, Singapore Exchange Limited (SGX) announced some rule amendments that will allow product offerings on a broader suite of asset classes in the securities market.

The new rules expand the application of existing Singapore Exchange Securities Trading (SGX-ST) Rules and Central Depository (CDP) Clearing Rules to allow trading of listed structured products based on futures prices.

With the rule change, financial institutions will probably be coming up with more innovative products to offer to retail investors.

Listed futures?

However, unless there is sufficient interest and liquidty, we will probably still need the issuers to be a market maker for these products for them to be successful.

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Mar 21 2008

IG Markets Margin Rate Changes

Published by lioninvestor under CFD

It’s Good Friday today so I will be taking a break. Nevertheless, just thought I will share this email that I received from IG Markets yesterday.

It seems that they have increased the margin requirements for some counters in view of current market volatility. Seems that institutions are doing as much as they can to reduce their exposure in line with the current credit crisis.

Trade with care!

In light of current market volatility, it has become necessary to review the margin rates on a number of markets. The changes will be made in two phases:

* Tuesday 25 March - Banking Stocks
Banks will be margined at a minimum of 10% with some more volatile stocks either 15% or 25%

For a full list of affected instruments, please visit the following link:
http://www.igmarkets.com.sg/cfd/banks-margin-changes.html

* Tuesday 1 April - Indices
Margins on Asian and Australian indices are set to rise but many, including the France 40 and US Tech100, will fall

For a full list of affected instruments, please visit the following link:
http://www.igmarkets.com.sg/cfd/indices-margin-changes.html

It will usually be possible to reduce any margin by placing stop losses on open positions. Please be advised that, should these changes create a shortfall on your account, it remains your obligation to fund the shortfall or reduce the size of your positions.

For full details of impending margin changes, please contact the helpdesk on (65) 6390 5118 and we will be happy to help.

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